{"id":30681,"date":"2012-09-25T12:00:27","date_gmt":"2012-09-25T17:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=30681"},"modified":"2013-09-13T07:51:44","modified_gmt":"2013-09-13T12:51:44","slug":"chanting-points-memo-that-d13-split","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=30681","title":{"rendered":"Chanting Points Memo: That D+13 Split"},"content":{"rendered":"

As I wait for the latest “Minnesota Poll” to release its results for the Senate race, I’ve been turning the poll’s D+13 (their sample of respondents was 41% Democrat and 28% Republican) number around in my head.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

After all, as the Strib tells us, “Brad Coker, managing director of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, which conducted the poll for the Star Tribune, said those numbers are consistent with what he has seen over the years”.<\/p>\n

But as we noted yesterday, the 2008 election – an epic Democrat win – was D+6 or so. \u00a0The 2010 election had turnout of D+2, roughly, and turned out to be a GOP rout nationwide and in the MN Legislature.<\/p>\n

So what about the worst election in the past 50 years for the GOP – the post-Watergate presidential election of 1976? \u00a0 \u00a0Where the GOP got shredded in DC and in Saint Paul, sending the MNGOP running to their “Independent Republican” label?<\/p>\n

I can’t find the partisan split – but does it seem unreasonable that in a year when Jimmy Carter beat Gerald Fold by 12 points in Minnesota that the partisan split was, maybe in the neighborhood of D+12?<\/p>\n

In other words,\u00a0maybe\u00a0<\/em>somewhere around the D+13 number the Strib would have you believe today?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As I wait for the latest “Minnesota Poll” to release its results for the Senate race, I’ve been turning the poll’s D+13 (their sample of respondents was 41% Democrat and 28% Republican) number around in my head. After all, as the Strib tells us, “Brad Coker, managing director of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, which conducted […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,130,125],"tags":[262],"class_list":["post-30681","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-media","category-tc-media-bias","category-the-great-poll-scam","tag-minnesota-poll"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30681","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=30681"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30681\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":38345,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30681\/revisions\/38345"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=30681"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=30681"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=30681"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}