Survey USA polls show that the Voter ID Amendmennt appears to be cleared for landing – barring, naturally, a major change in the landscape – while the Marriage Amendment could be a squeaker.<\/p>\n
Let’s start with the Marriage Amendment.<\/p>\n
At first glance, the news is good; the amendment is up 50-43. \u00a0Now, in elections for Constitutional Amendments, blanks ballots are counted as “no” votes. \u00a0So if every single “Undeicded” in this poll either votes “no” or doesn’t vote on the amendment, it flails 51-48. \u00a0On the one hand, that seems unlikely; it’s a lot more likely that some of the undecideds will break for the amendment; if an eighth of the undecideds vote “yes”, the amendment passes in a 50-plus-one-vote to 50-minus-one-vote squeaker.<\/p>\n
Of course, it’s unrealistic to expect that the landscape will stay the same. \u00a0Both sides are going to pour money into this state on this amendment in the next seven weeks. \u00a0Given the deep pockets behind the left’s “grassroots” efforts, I suspect they’ll deploy a\u00a0lot\u00a0<\/em>more money. \u00a0I suspect, as I have all along, that his vote is going to be a tight one.<\/p>\n Voter ID, on the other hand?<\/p>\n The proposed Voter ID Amendment is unchanged since the last round of polling, over a month ago. \u00a0It’s ahead by a 2:1 margin, with only 7% undecided. \u00a0IF every single undecided vote is a “no” or an abstention, the measure will pass with a 3:2 margin.<\/p>\n The “yes” \u00a0vote crushes among all age groups – even moreso among young voters (which makes sense; they’re the ones that see their classmates being approached to take part in the scams); it wins among every party and ideological stripe except among Democrats and self-identified liberals, and across all regions, income brackets and levels of education.<\/p>\n This measure is going to pass resoundingly.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Survey USA polls show that the Voter ID Amendmennt appears to be cleared for landing – barring, naturally, a major change in the landscape – while the Marriage Amendment could be a squeaker. Let’s start with the Marriage Amendment. At first glance, the news is good; the amendment is up 50-43. \u00a0Now, in elections for […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,119,2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30422","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-culture-war","category-election-integrity","category-minnesota-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30422","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=30422"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30422\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30424,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30422\/revisions\/30424"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=30422"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=30422"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=30422"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}