{"id":2873,"date":"2008-07-15T12:57:32","date_gmt":"2008-07-15T17:57:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=2873"},"modified":"2008-07-15T13:23:09","modified_gmt":"2008-07-15T18:23:09","slug":"shortest-rally%c2%a0ever","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=2873","title":{"rendered":"Shortest. Rally.\u00a0Ever?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On the one hand, Zack from MNPublius has gladdened my heart with <a href=\"http:\/\/mnpublius.com\/2008\/07\/shortest-campaign-ever\/\">this bit here<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Priscilla, Lord Faris (stole that one from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=2869\">Mitch<\/a>)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>If I could contribute one trite but funny (in a very Anglophilic way)\u00a0meme to the local &#8216;net, it&#8217;d be one of life&#8217;s fun little accomplishments.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Oh, yeah &#8211; it&#8217;s <em>not <\/em>all about me:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u00a0&#8230;announced yesterday that she would challenge Al Franken for the DFL nomination in the primary this fall. I was listening to MPR and heard Lord Faris say that she that she wouldn\u2019t run if Franken was ahead of Coleman in the polls (I\u2019ll post the audio clip if MPR puts it\u00a0online).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rasmussenreports.com\/public_content\/politics\/election_20082\/2008_senate_elections\/minnesota\/election_2008_minnesota_senate\">Well, that day has\u00a0come.<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>It links to a Rasmussen poll that shows Franken two points ahead of Senator Coleman.<\/p>\n<p>Which is interesting, I suppose &#8211; except that Rasmussen also <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rasmussenreports.com\/public_content\/politics\/election_20082\/state_toplines\/minnesota\/toplines_minnesota_senate_election_july_10_2008\">notes in its toplines<\/a> that Coleman has much higher &#8220;very favorable&#8221; and much lower &#8220;very unfavorable&#8221; ratings than Franken does.\u00a0 Which introduces the question &#8220;who are they polling?<\/p>\n<p>In other words &#8211; what are the polling samples?\u00a0 How many of them are registered or leaning Republican versus DFL?<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s not a trivial question; in many previous polls, including Raz polls, identified Democrats outnumber Republicans 3-2 in the sample.\u00a0 And while I don&#8217;t know for sure (crosstabs are only available to subscribers), given the disparity in the Very Goods and the Very Bads, along with the fact that 90+% of Republicans are supporting the Senator while only three of of four Dems are, I have to suspect some sort of imbalance in the sample.<\/p>\n<p>Zack:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>So, when will the Lord Faris announce her departure from the race?\u00a0 She hasn\u2019t filed as of this\u00a0writing.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Rumors of Priscilla, Lord Faris&#8217; demise are greatly exaggerated &#8211; or at least very, very premature.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On the one hand, Zack from MNPublius has gladdened my heart with this bit here: Priscilla, Lord Faris (stole that one from Mitch) If I could contribute one trite but funny (in a very Anglophilic way)\u00a0meme to the local &#8216;net, it&#8217;d be one of life&#8217;s fun little accomplishments.\u00a0 Oh, yeah &#8211; it&#8217;s not all about [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2873","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campaign-08","category-democrats"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2873","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2873"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2873\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2873"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2873"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2873"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}