{"id":2129,"date":"2008-02-18T05:08:54","date_gmt":"2008-02-18T10:08:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=2129"},"modified":"2008-02-15T16:17:49","modified_gmt":"2008-02-15T21:17:49","slug":"whats-in-a-number","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=2129","title":{"rendered":"What&#8217;s In A Number?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Whenever I refer to John McCain&#8217;s &#8220;American Conservative Union&#8221; (ACU) rating (lifetime: 82:\u00a0 2006:\u00a0 65), I almost always disclaim it &#8220;for those of you who believe in these things&#8221;.\u00a0 While I support the ACU on most issues (duh), trying to cram someone&#8217;s stances into a simple 1-3 digit number is at best unclear, and at worst very, very misleading.<\/p>\n<p>Such numbers\u00a0<em>can <\/em>make useful guidelines, of course; your gut can tell you that John Kyl (97) is a better conservative than Jim Ramstad (68), who is in turn better than Dennis Kucinich (who cares).<\/p>\n<p>But as <a href=\"http:\/\/www.truthvmachine.com\/?p=5562\">Kouba notes<\/a>\u00a0over at TVM, there&#8217;s much more to Mac and his rating than just the number:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Just so we know what went into that rating, I looked up McCain\u2019s votes on the issues the ACU used to make up its rating for 2006. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.acuratings.org\/2006_SenateVotes.html\" target=\"_blank\"><font color=\"#850101\">Here is the list<\/font><\/a> of the 25 issues the ACU used. Here are the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.senate.gov\/legislative\/LIS\/roll_call_lists\/vote_menu_109_2.htm\" target=\"_blank\"><font color=\"#850101\">Senate roll call votes<\/font><\/a> for 2006.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>He helpfully provides them all, in convenient table form (which I lift wholesale from his post):<\/p>\n<table style=\"height: 478px\" width=\"497\" border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">Issue<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" align=\"center\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">ACU<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" align=\"center\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">McCain\u2019s Vote<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Alito Nomination<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Asbestos Trust Fund<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#0000ff\">Not voting<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Tax Reconciliation<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Tax Cut Rules<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Opposed<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Fiscal 2007 Budget Resolution\u2013Energy Funding<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Opposed<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">No<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Spending Limitations<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Earmark Definitions<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">No<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Pork Barrel Spending<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Medical Malpractice<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#0000ff\">Not voting<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Tax Reconciliation<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Small Business Health Plans<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Immigration Overhaul\u2014Social Security Credit<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Immigration Overhaul\u2014Voter Identification<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">No<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Immigration Reform<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Opposed<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Same-Sex Marriage Ban Constitutional Amendment<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">No<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Death Tax Repeal<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Native Hawaiian Government<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Opposed<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Iran Sanctions<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">No<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Iraq Amnesty Policy<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Minimum Wage<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Opposed<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">No<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Iraq Troop Withdrawal<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Opposed<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">No<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Border Fencing<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">No<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Embryonic Stem Cell Research<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Opposed<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Parental Notification of Abortion<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Gulf of Mexico Offshore Oil and Gas Drilling<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Jeff notes some of the nuances to at least a few of the votes that oppose the ACU, and concludes:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>There are press releases addressing other votes here, and if you\u2019re interested, you could go find out why McCain voted the way he did. I think by going through the votes, we\u2019d find we may not always agree, but at least he had his reasons, reasons that had more substance than \u201cI wanted to please my buddy Ted Kennedy.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Indeed, the overall rating is relatively useless for parsing what Mac is <em>really <\/em>about.<\/p>\n<p>So let me totally geek out, here, and break the votes above into categories that actually mean something.\u00a0 Let me geek out even <em>further<\/em> by adding my own choices in some or all of the categories, where they might differ from those of the ACU.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Judiciary<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Of course, only one of the roll call votes in the ACU&#8217;s list really addresses the Judiciary, an issue on which Mac has his legitimate conservative detractors.\u00a0 But still:<\/p>\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">Issue<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" align=\"center\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">ACU<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" align=\"center\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">McCain\u2019s Vote<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Alito Nomination<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"><strong>Total<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">100%<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>100% of one vote is hardly dispositive &#8211; and I remain to be convinced that he&#8217;s not going to buddy up to the left on SCOTUS and Federal bench nominations.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>So convince me!<\/p>\n<p><strong>Fiscal<\/strong><\/p>\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">Issue<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" align=\"center\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">ACU<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" align=\"center\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">McCain\u2019s Vote<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Tax Reconciliation<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Tax Cut Rules<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Opposed<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Fiscal 2007 Budget Resolution\u2013Energy Funding<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Opposed<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">No<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Spending Limitations<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Earmark Definitions<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">No<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Pork Barrel Spending<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Tax Reconciliation<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes (*)<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Death Tax Repeal<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\"><strong>Total<\/strong><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">75+%<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>I put an asterisk on the Tax Reconciliation vote; McCain&#8217;s &#8220;no&#8221; was, reportedly, due to the Dems and the Administration breaking their word on spending caps.\u00a0 I made the &#8220;fiscal&#8221; rating a 75% for that reason.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Economic<\/strong><\/p>\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">Issue<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" align=\"center\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">ACU<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" align=\"center\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">McCain\u2019s Vote<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Small Business Health Plans<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Minimum Wage<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Opposed<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">No<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Gulf of Mexico Offshore Oil and Gas Drilling<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\"><strong>Total<\/strong><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">100%<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Granted, it&#8217;s an assortment of three bills that covers the waterfront.\u00a0 But if we&#8217;re using the ACU&#8217;s sample as the gospel (and I don&#8217;t), it&#8217;s instructive.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Immigration<\/strong><\/p>\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">Issue<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" align=\"center\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">ACU<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" align=\"center\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">McCain\u2019s Vote<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Immigration Overhaul\u2014Social Security Credit<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Immigration Overhaul\u2014Voter Identification<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">No<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Immigration Reform<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Opposed<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Border Fencing<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">No<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\"><strong>Total<\/strong><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">25%<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Well, we knew that was gonna be a problem, didn&#8217;t we?<\/p>\n<p><strong>Social Issues<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>There are a couple of issues here where I differ from the ACU, and alter Mac&#8217;s score accordingly:<\/p>\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">Issue<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" align=\"center\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">ACU<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" align=\"center\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">Mitch<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" align=\"center\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">McCain\u2019s Vote<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Same-Sex Marriage Ban Constitutional Amendment<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Opposed. This is a state issue<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">No<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Native Hawaiian Government<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Opposed<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Oppose, maybe. Don&#8217;t know the issue.\u00a0 Not sure why any mainlander would care, unless money&#8217;s involved.\u00a0 Which, being a federal issue, I&#8217;m sure it is.<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Embryonic Stem Cell Research<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Opposed<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Broadly opposed, but unsure of specifics<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Parental Notification of Abortion<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">\n<p align=\"center\">Support <strong>Strongly<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">\n<p align=\"right\"><strong>Total<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">70%<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>It&#8217;s a composite score, for me &#8211; I differ from the ACU strongly on the gay marriage amendment, don&#8217;t much care about the Native Hawaiian government (but it sounds wrong), and would need to know the specifics of the Embryonic Stem Cell bill.<\/p>\n<p>And finally&#8230;:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Foreign Policy<\/strong><\/p>\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">Issue<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" align=\"center\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">ACU<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: #000000 1px solid\" align=\"center\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\">McCain\u2019s Vote<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Iran Sanctions<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#ff0000\">No (*)<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Iraq Amnesty Policy<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Supported<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">Yes<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Iraq Troop Withdrawal<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">Opposed<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">No<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">\n<p align=\"right\"><strong>Total<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><font color=\"#008000\">80%<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Kouba notes the &#8220;nuances&#8221; of the Iran Sanctions bill in his post, which you really need to read.<\/p>\n<p>Is it an adequate measure of Mac&#8217;s acceptability to conservatives?\u00a0 No.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Are six numbers better than one?\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>I think so.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Whenever I refer to John McCain&#8217;s &#8220;American Conservative Union&#8221; (ACU) rating (lifetime: 82:\u00a0 2006:\u00a0 65), I almost always disclaim it &#8220;for those of you who believe in these things&#8221;.\u00a0 While I support the ACU on most issues (duh), trying to cram someone&#8217;s stances into a simple 1-3 digit number is at best unclear, and at [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2129","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campaign-08"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2129","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2129"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2129\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2129"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2129"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2129"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}