{"id":2035,"date":"2008-01-28T08:46:27","date_gmt":"2008-01-28T13:46:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=2035"},"modified":"2008-01-28T09:17:35","modified_gmt":"2008-01-28T14:17:35","slug":"south-carolina-as-sista-soulja","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=2035","title":{"rendered":"South Carolina as Sista Soulja?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Jay Reding, quoting Dick Morris, calls Obama’s South Carolina victory over the weekend “pyrrhic<\/a>“.<\/p>\n

Morris:<\/p>\n

\n

By challenging Obama for the black vote – by promising to go door to door in South Carolina in minority neighborhoods, for example – Bill is highlighting the question: Will Obama carry the black vote? Of course, he will. He leads, 4 to 1, among African-Americans now.<\/em><\/p>\n

But by making that the central question, Obama\u2019s South Carolina victory will be hailed as proof that he won the African-American vote. Such block voting will trigger the white backlash Sen. Clinton needs to win<\/em>.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Reding:<\/p>\n

\n

This loss certainly doesn\u2019t look good for Hillary Clinton\u2014she got creamed by Obama\u2014but ultimately time (and the byzantine Democratic primary process) is on her side. The Clintons are masters of political hardball, as well as divide-and-conquer politics. They know full well that all they need to do is split the vote along racial lines and they can win\u2014and it\u2019s not like black voters will cross over and vote Republican in the general election.Obama won a major victory tonight\u2014but it could end up being a Pyrrhic one. Obama must broaden his appeal beyond racial and class lines, and so far he\u2019s been unable to do it. The demographic tide going into Super Tuesday doesn\u2019t favor him, and while he\u2019s dinged Clinton\u2019s armor twice now, he\u2019s yet to slay the beast.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Which is, I think, a good thing.<\/p>\n

As I said on the show on Saturday – Obama is my nightmare scenario. Not because he’s presidential material, by any means – he’s a state legislator with not even an entire term in the Senate.<\/p>\n

But if Obie wins the nomination, America may well go through the nightmare Minnesota suffered from 1998 to 2002, when thousands of the politically-apathetic turned out to vote in another fantasy based on “change”, Jesse Ventura. Obie is trying – in some ways successfully – to capture the JFK vibe, all “change” and youth and upsetting the establishment which he is, conveniently, a part and product of. Like Minnesota during its four year nightmare, we’d get an executive with no executive experience (actually, even less than Ventura, who was at least a one-term mayor of sleepy bedroom suburb), peddling phony “change” to an audience that only has to buy the con once for the damage to be done.<\/p>\n

If the Tics nominate Hillary, the fantasy element is gone, and we can have a race based on the issues, the facts, and of course Hillary’s whopping negatives.<\/p>\n

My emerging hypothesis; that Hillary is the Tic Bob Dole. She’s someone whose main impetus to run is that she wants the job.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jay Reding, quoting Dick Morris, calls Obama’s South Carolina victory over the weekend “pyrrhic“. Morris: By challenging Obama for the black vote – by promising to go door to door in South Carolina in minority neighborhoods, for example – Bill is highlighting the question: Will Obama carry the black vote? Of course, he will. He […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2035","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campaign-08"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2035","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2035"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2035\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2035"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2035"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2035"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}