{"id":14023,"date":"2010-10-04T12:05:02","date_gmt":"2010-10-04T17:05:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=14023"},"modified":"2011-09-01T07:57:31","modified_gmt":"2011-09-01T12:57:31","slug":"cravaack-leading","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=14023","title":{"rendered":"Tie – Or Better – In CD8?"},"content":{"rendered":"

An internal poll shows Chip Cravaack – the GOP-endorsed candidate for Congress in the Eighth Congressional District, within three points <\/span>in his race against 17-term Representative Jim Oberstar.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

The poll – by Public Opinion Strategies – was of 300 likely voters in the Eighth District. \u00a0It has a five point margin of error.<\/p>\n

It shows the race at 45-42 Oberstar, <\/span><\/strong>with very few undecideds.<\/p>\n

Even if Cravaack were to finish in November within twenty points against Oberstar – who has been winning races by 40-odd points in recent memory – it would have been a huge moral victory.<\/p>\n

Even if it’s only\u00a0partly <\/em>true – that Cravaack is even close – that’s going to be a huge kick in the head for the DFL.<\/p>\n

But it gets better: with messaging thrown in at the end of the poll – Cap and Trade (which will devastate mining in the range), regulation (which has kept a couple of big precious metals mining projects from starting digging) and Obamacare, the numbers switch to 47-41 Cravaack. <\/strong>And the “re-elect” number – “would you reelect Oberstar” – is 40%, versus 48 for “someone new”. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

If this is true – if Cravaack upsets Oberstar in the Eighth, one of the most traditionally, reliably Democrat-voting districts there is outside of Berkeley, Manhattan and Minneapolis – then all bets are truly off<\/strong> in this election.<\/p>\n

I’ll be following this very <\/em>closely.<\/p>\n

Because you can bet the mainstream media will not.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

An internal poll shows Chip Cravaack – the GOP-endorsed candidate for Congress in the Eighth Congressional District, within three points in his race against 17-term Representative Jim Oberstar. The poll – by Public Opinion Strategies – was of 300 likely voters in the Eighth District. \u00a0It has a five point margin of error. It shows […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[60,2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14023","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campaign-10","category-minnesota-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14023","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14023"}],"version-history":[{"count":15,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14023\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22481,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14023\/revisions\/22481"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14023"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14023"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14023"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}