{"id":13800,"date":"2010-09-24T08:07:40","date_gmt":"2010-09-24T13:07:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=13800"},"modified":"2014-10-02T10:19:47","modified_gmt":"2014-10-02T15:19:47","slug":"just-around-the-corner-from-the-light-of-day","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=13800","title":{"rendered":"Just Around The Corner From The Light Of Day"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The latest Rasmussen Poll shows the race still a dead heat, but <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rasmussenreports.com\/public_content\/politics\/elections\/election_2010\/election_2010_governor_elections\/minnesota\/election_2010_minnesota_governor\">with Emmer ahead<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rasmussenreports.com\/public_content\/politics\/elections\/election_2010\/election_2010_governor_elections\/minnesota\/election_2010_minnesota_governor\"><\/a>The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Minnesota Voters shows Emmer earning 42% support to Dayton\u2019s 41% when leaners are included. Independence Party candidate Tom Horner is a distant third with nine percent (9%) of the vote. Six percent (6%) like some other candidate in the race, and two percent (2%) are undecided.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote><p>The findings move the race to a Toss-Up from Leans Democratic in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Gubernatorial Scorecard.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Dayton&#8217;s supporters will do the usual bleating; it&#8217;s a landline phone survey, yadda yadda.<\/p>\n<p>And some of the local wonk class are astounded that Tom Horner, who drew 18 points in the last KSTP\/Survey USA poll, is down to 9 in the lastest Raz.<\/p>\n<p>I think there&#8217;s a rational reason for it; I&#8217;ll add emphasis:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>This is the first survey of the governor\u2019s race to include leaners. Leaners are those who initially indicate no preference for either of the candidates but answer a follow-up question and say they are leaning towards a particular candidate. Rasmussen Reports now considers results with leaners the primary indicator of the race.<\/p>\n<p>Excluding leaners, Emmer edges Dayton 36% to 34%, and Horner chalks up 18% support. Horner\u2019s loss of support when leaners are added highlights the tendency in most races for supporters of <strong>third-party candidates to gravitate to one of the major party nominees as Election Day approaches<\/strong>.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I suspect an awful lot of people <em>consider <\/em>third-party candidacies as a sort of personal &#8220;protest&#8221; against the major parties &#8211; up until it becomes real to them.<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ll be talking about one of those issues that are making the leaners lean <em>real <\/em>hard, at noon today on Shot In The Dark.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The latest Rasmussen Poll shows the race still a dead heat, but with Emmer ahead: The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Minnesota Voters shows Emmer earning 42% support to Dayton\u2019s 41% when leaners are included. Independence Party candidate Tom Horner is a distant third with nine percent (9%) of the vote. Six percent [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[312],"class_list":["post-13800","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campaign-10","tag-mngov-2010"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13800","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13800"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13800\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13802,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13800\/revisions\/13802"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13800"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13800"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13800"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}