{"id":12016,"date":"2010-07-13T12:02:15","date_gmt":"2010-07-13T17:02:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=12016"},"modified":"2010-07-13T12:02:11","modified_gmt":"2010-07-13T17:02:11","slug":"whistling-past-the-graveyard","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=12016","title":{"rendered":"Whistling Past The Graveyard"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00a0<\/em>The lastest KSTP-Survey USA poll shows Michele Bachmann up over Tarryl Clark by nine points with four months ’til the election.<\/p>\n

Someone named “Alec”, a “diarist” at Minnesota “Progressive” Project<\/em>, has a Matthews-y tingle running down his leg<\/a>:<\/p>\n

Someone else can write a nice front page post, but I am very excited by this. Bachmann 48, Clark 39. MOE 4%. Hard to believe the IP candidate only got 6%. With no name recognition, Clark is only down by 9. Bachmann is below 50% and her name rec is universal.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Four months ’til the election, with Clark benefitting from\u00a0a blitz of advertising and friendly-to-fawning coverage in the Twin Cities media, before Bachmann has even really started seriously campaigning.\u00a0 Seriously – Bachmann has yet to spend figurative dime one on her campaign.\u00a0 There is no need to, not yet.<\/p>\n

The “name recognition” is a red herring, too; all Bachmann’s negatives are in play, but Clark – a tax-and-spendaholic in a year and a district where that should be poisonous this fall – has only started to turn people off.\u00a0 As “Alec” notes, she has no name recognition; that may be the best thing going for her so far.<\/p>\n

And given the polarization of the numbers in the KSTP poll, I’m going to suspect that independents – who are breaking GOP nationwide – are not really sounding off yet.<\/p>\n

Joe “Chloe<\/a>” Bodell comments:<\/p>\n

We’ll dig into the numbers later — but thanks to Alec for getting the news out to the ‘sphere. <\/em><\/p>\n

This is good-to-great news, folks. – promoted by Joe Bodell)<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Well, run this good-to-great news; at this point in 2006 and 2006, if memory serves (and I believe it does, but stop me if I’m wrong) Patty Wetterling was around nine points back in a bad GOP year, and Elwin “E-Tink” Tinklenburg was closer than that two years ago in a much, much worse year.<\/p>\n

I’ve been predicting an eight-point Bachmann win by November.\u00a0 I’m seeing no reason not to be optimistic.<\/p>\n

\u00a0A lot can happen in four months, of course.<\/p>\n

Gary Gross also covers the topic<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00a0The lastest KSTP-Survey USA poll shows Michele Bachmann up over Tarryl Clark by nine points with four months ’til the election. Someone named “Alec”, a “diarist” at Minnesota “Progressive” Project, has a Matthews-y tingle running down his leg: Someone else can write a nice front page post, but I am very excited by this. Bachmann […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[60,20,72],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12016","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campaign-10","category-democrats","category-mngop"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12016","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12016"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12016\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12019,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12016\/revisions\/12019"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12016"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12016"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12016"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}