{"id":11479,"date":"2010-06-18T06:54:05","date_gmt":"2010-06-18T11:54:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=11479"},"modified":"2010-06-18T07:32:40","modified_gmt":"2010-06-18T12:32:40","slug":"11479","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=11479","title":{"rendered":"Poll This"},"content":{"rendered":"

The KSTP\/Survey USA poll <\/a>yesterday confirmed my predictions on both counts.<\/p>\n

First – as I’ve been predicting for the past few weeks, Dayton seems to be pulling away.<\/p>\n

Dayton \u2013 39<\/p>\n

Kelliher \u2013 26<\/p>\n

Entenza \u2013 22<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

There are still eight weeks until the DFL primary, but Dayton’s out-state name recognition and years as a “Senator” are giving him a huge head start.\u00a0\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

As I noted yesterday<\/a>, Emmers numbers were (expectedly) off from the May, post-convention numbers – but the match between Emmer and Dayton is a statistical tie.<\/p>\n

Emmer \u2013 35<\/p>\n

Dayton \u2013 38<\/p>\n

Horner \u2013 12<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Remember, Republicans – the Dems are going to play this like the election is already over.\u00a0 Don’t believe the hype.\u00a0 This is the\u00a0 truth:\u00a0 Dayton is a former US Senator with huge name recognition across the state – and he’s polling within the margin against a state representative who three months ago was unknown to most non-GOP Minnesotans.<\/p>\n

That is, at the very least, not good news for Dayton or the DFL.<\/p>\n

Note that Horner’s numbers from the ballyhooed PiPress poll from last week <\/a>do seem, as we noted here, to have been BS – off a solid third.\u00a0 If the PiPress poll wasn’t rigged (the poll was run by a friend of Horner’s), then it was too sloppy to worry about.<\/p>\n

Emmer and Kelliher?\u00a0 Not that it matters; it’ll take a miracle to get her through the primary…<\/p>\n

Emmer \u2013 35<\/p>\n

Kelliher \u2013 33<\/p>\n

Horner \u2013 12<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

…although Dayton has made a career out of giving his opponents miracles.\u00a0 Still, at this stage it seems the DFL endorsement is on track to remain the electoral kiss of death.<\/p>\n

Emmer and Entenza?\u00a0 Who cares – Entenza is DOA. But here y’go:<\/p>\n

Emmer \u2013 37<\/p>\n

Entenza \u2013 33<\/p>\n

Horner \u2013 12<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Stick a fork\u00a0 in it.<\/p>\n

Some perspective here:\u00a0 in 2002, polls were showing Tim Pawlenty trailing Roger Moe by eight, and Tim Penny <\/em>by 6 – in September<\/em>.<\/p>\n

This campaign is shaping up pretty well.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The KSTP\/Survey USA poll yesterday confirmed my predictions on both counts. First – as I’ve been predicting for the past few weeks, Dayton seems to be pulling away. Dayton \u2013 39 Kelliher \u2013 26 Entenza \u2013 22 There are still eight weeks until the DFL primary, but Dayton’s out-state name recognition and years as a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11479","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campaign-10"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11479","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11479"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11479\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11481,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11479\/revisions\/11481"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11479"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11479"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11479"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}