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	<title>Comments for Shot in the Dark</title>
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	<link>http://www.shotinthedark.info/wp</link>
	<description>Cranking Open The Big Brass Nozzle Of Truth Since 2002</description>
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		<title>Comment on Lipstick/Pig by Mr. D</title>
		<link>http://www.shotinthedark.info/wp/?p=36458&#038;cpage=1#comment-112065</link>
		<dc:creator>Mr. D</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 25 May 2013 01:00:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.shotinthedark.info/wp/?p=36458#comment-112065</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;If they were serving rubbing alcohol from the top shelf, what was flowing from the well…sterno?&lt;/i&gt;

Bongwater.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>If they were serving rubbing alcohol from the top shelf, what was flowing from the well…sterno?</i></p>
<p>Bongwater.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Grading Al by Joe Doakes</title>
		<link>http://www.shotinthedark.info/wp/?p=36449&#038;cpage=1#comment-112064</link>
		<dc:creator>Joe Doakes</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 25 May 2013 00:38:33 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I was around when Orange County went bankrupt because the County Manager invested all the tax receipts in derivatives, and those were highly rated, too.  Derivatives are not something new invented to cause the housing bubble and collapse, Doug.  

Credit ratings make no difference to derivatives because the event that makes them risky is always external to the specific loans, e.g. interest rates drop so everyone refinances out and your payment stream dries up.   The entities that were allowed to buy shares in mortgage pools were the size of Royal Bank of Scotland, Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse.  International investment bankers know damned well what derivatives are and why they&#039;re risky, which is why they also bought credit default swaps and mortgage insurance.  The credit ratings set the per-share buy-in price but not the risk and everyone involved knows it.  Lowering the credit ratings would have lowered the buy-in price but would not have affected the risk or the willingness to purchase.

Doug, you discount the Community Reinvestment Act as a cause but then cite no-doc loans as a problem.  Yes, and why were they developed?  To justify giving loans to people who couldn&#039;t otherwise qualify for them (immigrants and minorities) to increase lending to bad risk borrowers, to meet CRA requirements, which Congress set.  Again, lowering credit ratings wouldn&#039;t have stopped Congress from passing idiotic social-leveling legislation.  In fact, Jamie Gorlick at Fannie Mae lowered underwriting standards specifically to be able to guarantee more bad risk loans.

Finger pointing isn&#039;t problem solving.  &quot;It&#039;s complex&quot; and &quot;I don&#039;t know&quot; don&#039;t solve problems.  Tinkering with credit ratings won&#039;t solve the problem, either.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was around when Orange County went bankrupt because the County Manager invested all the tax receipts in derivatives, and those were highly rated, too.  Derivatives are not something new invented to cause the housing bubble and collapse, Doug.  </p>
<p>Credit ratings make no difference to derivatives because the event that makes them risky is always external to the specific loans, e.g. interest rates drop so everyone refinances out and your payment stream dries up.   The entities that were allowed to buy shares in mortgage pools were the size of Royal Bank of Scotland, Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse.  International investment bankers know damned well what derivatives are and why they&#8217;re risky, which is why they also bought credit default swaps and mortgage insurance.  The credit ratings set the per-share buy-in price but not the risk and everyone involved knows it.  Lowering the credit ratings would have lowered the buy-in price but would not have affected the risk or the willingness to purchase.</p>
<p>Doug, you discount the Community Reinvestment Act as a cause but then cite no-doc loans as a problem.  Yes, and why were they developed?  To justify giving loans to people who couldn&#8217;t otherwise qualify for them (immigrants and minorities) to increase lending to bad risk borrowers, to meet CRA requirements, which Congress set.  Again, lowering credit ratings wouldn&#8217;t have stopped Congress from passing idiotic social-leveling legislation.  In fact, Jamie Gorlick at Fannie Mae lowered underwriting standards specifically to be able to guarantee more bad risk loans.</p>
<p>Finger pointing isn&#8217;t problem solving.  &#8220;It&#8217;s complex&#8221; and &#8220;I don&#8217;t know&#8221; don&#8217;t solve problems.  Tinkering with credit ratings won&#8217;t solve the problem, either.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Whew! by Joe</title>
		<link>http://www.shotinthedark.info/wp/?p=36456&#038;cpage=1#comment-112063</link>
		<dc:creator>Joe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 May 2013 23:42:34 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>According to a news story I just heard, the peace-loving animals were successful in their beheading and were able to post it somewhere on-line.

I hope that British incarcerated criminals share some traits with ours ...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>According to a news story I just heard, the peace-loving animals were successful in their beheading and were able to post it somewhere on-line.</p>
<p>I hope that British incarcerated criminals share some traits with ours &#8230;</p>
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		<title>Comment on It&#8217;s A Start by Joe</title>
		<link>http://www.shotinthedark.info/wp/?p=36461&#038;cpage=1#comment-112062</link>
		<dc:creator>Joe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 May 2013 23:31:26 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>A comparison of the average dollar amount per donation for each organization would be interesting. So would the actual number of donations made. 

A million dollar one-time donation by the reptile Bloomberg is nice. A million dollars received in donations from a million different supporters is much nicer. I think those figures would verify Mr. Fisch&#039;s statement.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A comparison of the average dollar amount per donation for each organization would be interesting. So would the actual number of donations made. </p>
<p>A million dollar one-time donation by the reptile Bloomberg is nice. A million dollars received in donations from a million different supporters is much nicer. I think those figures would verify Mr. Fisch&#8217;s statement.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Lipstick/Pig by swiftee</title>
		<link>http://www.shotinthedark.info/wp/?p=36458&#038;cpage=1#comment-112061</link>
		<dc:creator>swiftee</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 May 2013 23:29:11 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>If they were serving rubbing alcohol from the top shelf, what was flowing from the well...sterno?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If they were serving rubbing alcohol from the top shelf, what was flowing from the well&#8230;sterno?</p>
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		<title>Comment on Grading Al by Emery</title>
		<link>http://www.shotinthedark.info/wp/?p=36449&#038;cpage=1#comment-112060</link>
		<dc:creator>Emery</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 May 2013 22:33:26 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>The roots of the crisis of 2008 can be found in the 1980s when complex financial products like mortgage derivatives were developed. These financial instruments (which had names like the synthetic subprime mortgage bond-backed C.D.O., or collateralized debt obligation) grew increasingly opaque and complex to help obscure the fact that they were built around increasingly suspect loans: “low-doc or no-doc loans” requiring little documentation, adjustable-rate mortgages that ballooned after two years, “interest-only negative-amortizing adjustable-rate subprime” mortgages, and mortgages given to migrant workers and immigrants. 

Wall Street firms were able to hide the risk by complicating it and by getting the rating agencies notably, Moody’s and Standard &amp; Poor’s to give triple-A ratings to bonds that were far lower in quality.  Why, were Moody’s and Standard &amp; Poor’s willing to bless 80 percent of a pool of dicey mortgage loans with the same triple-A rating they bestowed on the debts of the U.S. Treasury? Because,  Wall Street firms knew how to game the system; they knew how to get the rating agencies (which were eager to collect big fees for their services) to ineptly rate dangerous bonds. Most evaluation models,  were based on rising house prices and used the foreshortened, statistically meaningless past to predict the future; this was how the entire food chain of intermediaries in the subprime mortgage machine was able to dupe itself.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The roots of the crisis of 2008 can be found in the 1980s when complex financial products like mortgage derivatives were developed. These financial instruments (which had names like the synthetic subprime mortgage bond-backed C.D.O., or collateralized debt obligation) grew increasingly opaque and complex to help obscure the fact that they were built around increasingly suspect loans: “low-doc or no-doc loans” requiring little documentation, adjustable-rate mortgages that ballooned after two years, “interest-only negative-amortizing adjustable-rate subprime” mortgages, and mortgages given to migrant workers and immigrants. </p>
<p>Wall Street firms were able to hide the risk by complicating it and by getting the rating agencies notably, Moody’s and Standard &amp; Poor’s to give triple-A ratings to bonds that were far lower in quality.  Why, were Moody’s and Standard &amp; Poor’s willing to bless 80 percent of a pool of dicey mortgage loans with the same triple-A rating they bestowed on the debts of the U.S. Treasury? Because,  Wall Street firms knew how to game the system; they knew how to get the rating agencies (which were eager to collect big fees for their services) to ineptly rate dangerous bonds. Most evaluation models,  were based on rising house prices and used the foreshortened, statistically meaningless past to predict the future; this was how the entire food chain of intermediaries in the subprime mortgage machine was able to dupe itself.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Hello Steeltown; Goodbye, DFL by bubbasan</title>
		<link>http://www.shotinthedark.info/wp/?p=36465&#038;cpage=1#comment-112059</link>
		<dc:creator>bubbasan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 May 2013 20:50:23 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Wait a second.  They&#039;re drying out sugar beet fiber and coking it, taking it 90 miles on the train, and then making pig iron out of iron ore tailings--that have gone 300 iles--with a low iron content.

All while their competition is coking coal and using premium taconite.

And it&#039;s part of a university study.

Five will get you ten DOE loans and subsidies are involved.  This one doesn&#039;t pass the smell test for business plan.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wait a second.  They&#8217;re drying out sugar beet fiber and coking it, taking it 90 miles on the train, and then making pig iron out of iron ore tailings&#8211;that have gone 300 iles&#8211;with a low iron content.</p>
<p>All while their competition is coking coal and using premium taconite.</p>
<p>And it&#8217;s part of a university study.</p>
<p>Five will get you ten DOE loans and subsidies are involved.  This one doesn&#8217;t pass the smell test for business plan.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Hello Steeltown; Goodbye, DFL by Rikkor</title>
		<link>http://www.shotinthedark.info/wp/?p=36465&#038;cpage=1#comment-112058</link>
		<dc:creator>Rikkor</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 May 2013 19:04:01 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Gotta tax em. How about a wheelage tax on railcars? A nickel per ton should do it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Gotta tax em. How about a wheelage tax on railcars? A nickel per ton should do it.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Hello Steeltown; Goodbye, DFL by Terry</title>
		<link>http://www.shotinthedark.info/wp/?p=36465&#038;cpage=1#comment-112057</link>
		<dc:creator>Terry</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 May 2013 18:37:21 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Economic activity leads to unequal outcomes.
Therefore it must be stopped.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Economic activity leads to unequal outcomes.<br />
Therefore it must be stopped.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Whew! by jpmn</title>
		<link>http://www.shotinthedark.info/wp/?p=36456&#038;cpage=1#comment-112056</link>
		<dc:creator>jpmn</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 May 2013 18:30:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>The Stockholm suburbs have burnt for a fifth night.  They have graduated from Car-B-Ques to torching Schools.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Stockholm suburbs have burnt for a fifth night.  They have graduated from Car-B-Ques to torching Schools.</p>
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